Measuring and Explaining Pension System Risk

Frank J. Fabozzi

Abstract — Paper available online:

We discuss pension system risk in the United States by focusing on the investment policy and the methodology for the valuation of the liabilities of the Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation (PBGC). We offer suggestions as to how the PBGC should consider modifying the Pension Insurance Modeling System. The issues of investment policy and liability valuation are not two distinct topics. As emphasized here, the proper valuation of liabilities provides a benchmark for the PBGC to use as a starting point for the establishment of its investment policy and then for assessing investment performance.